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2015/02/13

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2015/02/10

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2014/05/29

Markets Forecast – Friday, May 30


Last day of the week will be very busy. Trading sessions will start with news form New Zealand, Japan and Australia. Japan, for example, will publish Household Spending, CPIs and Industrial Production numbers at 2:30 a.m.

European session will be slow again, but Canada will announce its GDP (monthly, quarterly and yearly) and RMPI – index that measures the change in price of raw materials purchased by manufacturers. CAD is one of the “raw” currencies and depends on the market movements a lot. A higher than expected reading of the index should be taken as positive/bullish trend for “loonie”.

United States will close the week with publication of Personal Spending, Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer data (Consumer Expectations and Consumer Sentiment). News will be released right before the end of the weekly session (4:45 and 4:55 p.m.), so be careful and watch your deals on the volatile market.

2014/05/26

FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27


FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27

USA will catch up on Tuesday and release series of important news, including Core Durable Goods Orders and a Consumer Confidence Index.

The latter is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity.

Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism and should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Current forecast expects growth of the index from 82.3 to 83.0.

2014/05/07

FORECAST - Wednesday, May 7


Market will be volatile at 1:45 a.m. for the New Zealand dollar, when an unemployment level will be released.

JPY traders will pay attention to the Bank of Japan meeting minutes that will be published at 2:50 a.m.

Australian dollar will get volatile at 4:30 a.m., when retail sales numbers will be announced.

Euro will react to the publication of data about German factory orders and French statistics.

Jannet Yellen’s (the Chairman of FED) speech will become a key event of the day. It will start at 5 p.m., GMT+3.


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2014/05/06

Stock Markets Are Opening Trading Week Without Significant Changes

The new trading week started with a moderate growth of the main stock markets. As for the U.S, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in April increased from 53,1, to 55,2, when, at the time, analysts predicted growth of only 54,1.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average index raised 0,11% to the level of 16530,55 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,19% and reached a level of 1884,66 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went into plus by 0,34% and reached a level of 4138,06 points.

The situation in Europe was not so optimistic, mainly influenced again by the conflict in Ukraine, which brings huge uncertainty to the markets. The French index, CAC 40, increased by 0,10%, the German DAX went to a minus by 0,30%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,30% and was closed on a level of 336,89 points.

The investor confidence index of Sentix of the Eurozone for May, made 12,8 points against average expectations of 14,2 points. Besides that, the price index of producers of the Eurozone in March decreased by 0,20%, which coincided with average forecasts.

The price of commodities remain stable without showing any significant movements. Brent and WTI are up by around 0,11% and are traded on prices of $107,23 and $98,84 per barrel. Gold adds 0,20%, traded on a level of $1311,94 per troy ounce. Silver is up 0,40%, bargaining next to the level of $19,65 per troy ounce.

The Asian markets were less active due to the celebration of a national holiday.


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2014/05/05

Bears Feel More Confident In The Market

Stock markets closed the last trading week mainly in negative territory. European stock markets are still influenced with the geopolitical situation in Ukraine, and even positive statistics did not help indices to move up.

PMI indices of the members of the Eurozone showed positive dynamics, the index in the Eurozone, as a whole, increased from 53,3 points up to 53,4 points. In Switzerland, the index grew from the level of 54,4 points in March, to 55,8 points in April, but in Germany decreased from 54,2 points to 54,1 points. The unemployment rate appeared to be at the level of 11,8%, against the expected 11,9%.

As a result, the British FTSE 100 index increased by 0,20%, France's CAC 40 lost 0,70% and Germany's DAX went down by 0,50%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 0,20% and closed the trading week on a level of 337,76 points.

Statistics in the U.S. also appeared to be rather encouraging, but did not give indices power for growth. According to published data, employment in the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased in April by 288 thousand, while analysts had expected the number to be on a level of only 210 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate declined from 6,7% in March, to 6.3% in April, which was better than market expectations of 6.6%.

Nevertheless, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost 0,28% and was closed on a level of 16512,89 points, the S&P 500 index was down 0,14%, reaching a level of 1881,14 points, and the index of the high-tech companies, Nasdaq, lost 0.09% and finished the trading session on a level of 4123,90 points.

This morning, the index of business activity in the industry from HSBC in China was released, which, in April, made 48,1 points and appeared to be lower than the predicted result of 48,4 points.



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Bears Feel More Confident In The Market